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【WIN5/5】2016 有馬記念 予想用過去成績データ傾向まとめ

Entry ⇒ 2016.12.18 | JRA重賞コメント (0)ブログ村 データ理論
簡易傾向オッズ位置血統所属前場前級前距前差
的中率重視7.0~9.93枠中団ロベルト栗東京都G2芝2500勝0.3-0.5
回収率重視7.0~9.94枠先団ロベルト美浦京都G2芝3000勝0.0-0.2
\(^o^)/5.0~6.91枠先団ナスルーラ美浦福島G3芝1600勝0.6以上
 1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
全体555626.5%13.0%19.5%41.8%60.8%
人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気301160.0%60.0%80.0%130.0%108.0%
2番人気00230.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%62.0%
3番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4番人気111220.0%40.0%60.0%174.0%174.0%
5番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%58.0%
6番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%98.0%
8番人気100420.0%20.0%20.0%340.0%82.0%
9番人気01130.0%20.0%40.0%0.0%248.0%
10番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%106.0%
11番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
オッズ1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1.0~2.93000100.0%100.0%100.0%216.7%126.7%
3.0~4.900350.0%0.0%37.5%0.0%58.8%
5.0~6.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7.0~9.9111125.0%50.0%75.0%217.5%227.5%
10.0~14.900080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15.0~19.9110612.5%25.0%25.0%212.5%82.5%
20.0~29.902070.0%22.2%22.2%0.0%113.3%
30.0~49.9011110.0%7.7%15.4%0.0%95.4%
50.0~99.9000150.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
100倍以上00080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1枠00090.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2枠110711.1%22.2%22.2%96.7%58.9%
3枠120611.1%33.3%33.3%17.8%126.7%
4枠110810.0%20.0%20.0%170.0%90.0%
5枠01270.0%10.0%30.0%0.0%117.0%
6枠101810.0%10.0%20.0%22.0%48.0%
7枠102710.0%10.0%30.0%27.0%46.0%
8枠000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
性齢1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
牡3211718.2%27.3%36.4%44.5%100.9%
牝300010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡4132135.3%21.1%31.6%89.5%138.4%
牝400040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡5112204.2%8.3%16.7%6.7%27.5%
牝5100233.3%33.3%33.3%290.0%93.3%
牡600060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡700070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡800010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
斤量1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
53.000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
55.03111316.7%22.2%27.8%75.6%77.2%
57.0244483.4%10.3%17.2%32.1%56.7%
位置取り1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%68.0%
先団210189.5%14.3%14.3%122.4%46.7%
中団143233.2%16.1%25.8%7.1%96.1%
後方2011710.0%10.0%15.0%21.5%19.0%
前走脚質1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
先行3112012.0%16.0%20.0%87.6%76.8%
差し141263.1%15.6%18.8%27.2%68.1%
追込002130.0%0.0%13.3%0.0%20.7%
未発表101225.0%25.0%50.0%40.0%67.5%
馬体重1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
420~439kg01020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%176.7%
440~459kg00080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
460~479kg300827.3%27.3%27.3%113.6%48.2%
480~499kg111243.7%7.4%11.1%63.0%39.6%
500~519kg112135.9%11.8%23.5%15.9%42.4%
520~539kg02270.0%18.2%36.4%0.0%166.4%
馬体重増減1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
+10~19kg00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%246.7%
+5~9kg101155.9%5.9%11.8%15.9%15.9%
+1~4kg120204.3%13.0%13.0%73.9%62.6%
±001060.0%14.3%14.3%0.0%41.4%
-1~4kg2221211.1%22.2%33.3%60.6%92.8%
-5~9kg00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
-10~19kg00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
血統1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
サンデー433398.2%14.3%20.4%31.0%49.0%
ロベルト100516.7%16.7%16.7%283.3%68.3%
ミスプロ022110.0%13.3%26.7%0.0%124.7%
ナスルーラ00070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
所属1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
美浦100146.7%6.7%6.7%113.3%27.3%
栗東455486.5%14.5%22.6%24.5%68.9%
前走場名1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
福島00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
中山00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
東京223325.1%10.3%17.9%65.9%64.6%
中京02090.0%18.2%18.2%0.0%70.9%
京都211816.7%25.0%33.3%40.8%92.5%
阪神00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
その他101225.0%25.0%50.0%40.0%67.5%
前走クラス1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
G1435437.3%12.7%21.8%27.6%63.5%
G2120136.3%18.8%18.8%106.3%74.4%
G300050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
OP00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走競種1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
555616.6%13.2%19.7%42.4%61.6%
ダート00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走距離1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
芝160000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝180000030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝2000020160.0%11.1%11.1%0.0%43.3%
芝220000060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝2400224295.4%10.8%21.6%27.8%64.3%
芝2500100150.0%50.0%50.0%850.0%205.0%
芝3000211233.3%50.0%66.7%81.7%185.0%
芝360000030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ180000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走着順1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1着3111217.6%23.5%29.4%128.8%91.2%
2着100614.3%14.3%14.3%22.9%15.7%
3着01150.0%14.3%28.6%0.0%55.7%
4着100614.3%14.3%14.3%124.3%40.0%
5着01020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%96.7%
6着00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7着00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8着01020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%163.3%
9着00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10着以下013190.0%4.3%17.4%0.0%68.3%
前走着差1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
勝0.6以上00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
勝0.3-0.5200250.0%50.0%50.0%122.5%67.5%
勝0.0-0.2111710.0%20.0%30.0%170.0%128.0%
負0.0-0.2000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負0.3-0.5021100.0%15.4%23.1%0.0%52.3%
負0.6-0.911198.3%16.7%25.0%72.5%125.8%
負1.0-1.9001130.0%0.0%7.1%0.0%12.1%
負2.0-2.900050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負3.0以上01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%250.0%
前走人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気400640.0%40.0%40.0%306.0%96.0%
2番人気01260.0%11.1%33.3%0.0%90.0%
3番人気00080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5番人気02140.0%28.6%42.9%0.0%160.0%
6番人気01070.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%66.3%
7番人気00060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8番人気01130.0%20.0%40.0%0.0%198.0%
9番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走SP指数1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
100以上00110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%170.0%
95~9900020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
90~94101810.0%10.0%20.0%22.0%28.0%
85~893312011.1%22.2%25.9%105.2%106.3%
80~84010160.0%5.9%5.9%0.0%14.7%
75~7900080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
70~7400130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%42.5%
65~6900020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
55~5901000.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%500.0%
上記以外101225.0%25.0%50.0%40.0%67.5%
前走上がり1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
32.5~32.900110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%70.0%
33.0~33.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
33.5~33.900060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
34.0~34.4120126.7%20.0%20.0%113.3%79.3%
34.5~34.9122116.3%18.8%31.3%13.8%114.4%
35.0~35.4001140.0%0.0%6.7%0.0%22.7%
35.5~35.9200722.2%22.2%22.2%126.7%45.6%
36.0~36.400030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
36.5~36.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
37.0~37.400020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
37.5~37.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
38.0~38.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
38.5~38.901000.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%500.0%
前走上がり順位1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1位102710.0%10.0%30.0%27.0%61.0%
2位220718.2%36.4%36.4%174.5%120.9%
3位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5位00070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7位01030.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%122.5%
8位100614.3%14.3%14.3%124.3%40.0%
9位01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%145.0%
10位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11位00110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%370.0%
12位00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14位00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15位00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%56.7%
16位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17位01000.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%500.0%
コース勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
100%101225.0%25.0%50.0%67.5%75.0%
60.0~79.9%00240.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%83.3%
40.0~59.9%11099.1%18.2%18.2%14.5%55.5%
20.0~39.9%111126.7%13.3%20.0%113.3%69.3%
0.01~19.9%00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%131223.7%14.8%18.5%8.1%72.2%
初コース100109.1%9.1%9.1%79.1%25.5%
コース連対率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%3111020.0%26.7%33.3%43.3%70.0%
50.0~74.9%112155.3%10.5%21.1%89.5%61.1%
25.0~49.9%011120.0%7.1%14.3%0.0%45.0%
00.0~24.9%021150.0%11.1%16.7%0.0%86.7%
初コース100109.1%9.1%9.1%79.1%25.5%
コース複勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%3141712.0%16.0%32.0%26.0%91.6%
50.0~74.9%121165.0%15.0%20.0%85.0%64.5%
25.0~49.9%00090.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
00.0~24.9%020100.0%16.7%16.7%0.0%68.3%
初コース100109.1%9.1%9.1%79.1%25.5%
前走ペース1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
遅い332278.6%17.1%22.9%62.6%88.9%
平均011100.0%8.3%16.7%0.0%49.2%
速い111233.8%7.7%11.5%33.5%27.3%
KLAN注目馬1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
注目馬:Aランク201066.7%66.7%100.0%143.3%193.3%
注目馬:Bランク00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
注目馬:Cランク01260.0%11.1%33.3%0.0%91.1%
注目馬:Dランク00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%35.0%
1着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
154ゴールドアクター牡48 17アルゼG2芝2510
142ジェンティルドンナ牝54 8.7JCG1芝2440.9
133オルフェーヴル牡51 1.6凱旋門G1芝242--
127ゴールドシップ牡31 2.7菊花賞G1芝301-0.3
116オルフェーヴル牡31 2.2菊花賞G1芝301-0.4
2着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
155サウンズオブアース牡45 9.9JCG1芝2450.3
143トゥザワールド牡39 31.2菊花賞G1芝30164.2
132ウインバリアシオン牡54 16.1金鯱賞G2芝2030.5
123オーシャンブルー牡410 27.6金鯱賞G2芝201-0.1
114エイシンフラッシュ牡47 26.8JCG1芝2480.7
3着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
156キタサンブラック牡34 8.4菊花賞G1芝3010
147ゴールドシップ牡51 3.5凱旋門G1芝2414--
137ゴールドシップ牡42 4.4JCG1芝24151.4
125ルーラーシップ牡52 3.7JCG1芝2430.4
115トゥザグローリー牡49 47.1JCG1芝24110.8
馬場ラップ
1516良(-0.7)30.935.07.0 - 11.7 - 12.2 - 12.5 - 12.7 - 12.8 - 12.6 - 12.6 - 12.0 - 11.9 - 11.5 - 11.3 - 12.2
1416良(-0.6)31.134.67.0 - 11.8 - 12.3 - 12.6 - 12.5 - 13.6 - 13.2 - 13.0 - 12.3 - 12.4 - 11.5 - 11.2 - 11.9
1316良(0.3)30.336.76.9 - 11.1 - 12.3 - 11.6 - 12.4 - 12.8 - 12.4 - 12.0 - 11.8 - 12.3 - 12.6 - 11.8 - 12.3
1216良(0)29.936.07.0 - 11.3 - 11.6 - 12.0 - 12.2 - 12.7 - 12.6 - 12.5 - 11.9 - 12.1 - 12.1 - 11.9 - 12.0
1113良(-0.8)31.234.06.8 - 12.0 - 12.4 - 12.1 - 13.1 - 14.4 - 14.3 - 13.0 - 12.0 - 11.9 - 11.4 - 11.3 - 11.3
券種配当下限配当上限配当平均回収率
単勝1601,70064041.8%
複勝11074031060.8%
枠連6105,0102,82079.5%
馬連86012,3505,39048.3%
ワイド2405,6301,59042.9%
馬単1,02021,1908,97040.2%
3連複1,42024,29013,07025.9%
3連単5,240125,87068,64022.6%
補足
注目馬のランク、出走馬のSP指数やコース勝率などの詳細は予想から馬券購入まで、無料で使えるあなた専用の競馬データベース【KLAN.jp】でご覧になれます。馬場項目にある()内の数字はレース当日の時計のかかり具合を数値化したものです。数値がプラスの場合は時計がかかっており、マイナスの場合は時計が出る馬場状態となります。

また、この記事に掲載しているデータは下記のレースから算出しています。

2015 5中山8 有馬記念(G1) 芝2500
2014 4中山8 有馬記念(G1) 芝2500
2013 5中山8 有馬記念(G1) 芝2500
2012 5中山8 有馬記念(G1) 芝2500
2011 5中山8 有馬記念(G1) 芝2500

なお、当ブログでは現行条件過去5回を原則としてデータをまとめておりますが、現行条件にできるだけ合わせる必要があると判断した場合やJRAの番組改編などにより該当レースと条件が似ている代替レースが見つからない場合には過去5回未満になることが多々ございます。ご了承ください。
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