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【WIN5/3(金)】2016 クリスマスキャロル賞風(1000万下) 予想用過去成績データ傾向まとめ

Entry ⇒ 2016.12.18 | WIN5コメント (0)ブログ村 データ理論
簡易傾向オッズ位置血統所属前場前級前距前差
的中率重視3.0~4.92枠逃げミスプロ美浦東京1000ダ1400負0.0-0.2
回収率重視7.0~9.92枠逃げミスプロ美浦中京1000ダ1400負0.6-0.9
\(^o^)/1.0~2.91枠先団ノーザン栗東札幌OP芝1500勝0.6以上
 1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
全体555656.3%12.5%18.8%42.3%58.6%
人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2番人気210240.0%60.0%60.0%178.0%102.0%
3番人気102220.0%20.0%60.0%152.0%128.0%
4番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%70.0%
5番人気210240.0%60.0%60.0%346.0%172.0%
6番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7番人気01130.0%20.0%40.0%0.0%142.0%
8番人気02030.0%40.0%40.0%0.0%198.0%
9番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%126.0%
10番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
オッズ1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1.0~2.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3.0~4.9210525.0%37.5%37.5%111.3%63.8%
5.0~6.900230.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%74.0%
7.0~9.9301727.3%27.3%36.4%226.4%109.1%
10.0~14.903140.0%37.5%50.0%0.0%173.8%
15.0~19.900070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20.0~29.900140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%126.0%
30.0~49.901040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%118.0%
50.0~99.900080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
100倍以上000220.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1枠01090.0%10.0%10.0%0.0%15.0%
2枠112610.0%20.0%40.0%46.0%107.0%
3枠110810.0%20.0%20.0%43.0%78.0%
4枠00280.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%81.0%
5枠110810.0%20.0%20.0%76.0%67.0%
6枠100910.0%10.0%10.0%78.0%33.0%
7枠100910.0%10.0%10.0%95.0%25.0%
8枠01180.0%10.0%20.0%0.0%63.0%
性齢1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
牡32211013.3%26.7%33.3%80.7%94.7%
牝300060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡42221410.0%20.0%30.0%70.5%95.0%
牝400280.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%82.0%
牡5110127.1%14.3%14.3%54.3%39.3%
牝500050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡600060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡700030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡800010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
斤量1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
52.000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
53.000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
54.000070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
55.0002150.0%0.0%11.8%0.0%48.2%
56.0221914.3%28.6%35.7%86.4%101.4%
57.0332327.5%15.0%20.0%54.3%61.3%
位置取り1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ100420.0%20.0%20.0%156.0%66.0%
先団211198.7%13.0%17.4%53.0%46.5%
中団033240.0%10.0%20.0%0.0%69.0%
後方211189.1%13.6%18.2%62.7%55.5%
前走脚質1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ100811.1%11.1%11.1%86.7%36.7%
先行111204.3%8.7%13.0%20.0%34.8%
差し121223.8%11.5%15.4%29.2%55.8%
追込223159.1%18.2%31.8%62.7%95.9%
馬体重1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
440~459kg111611.1%22.2%33.3%84.4%66.7%
460~479kg113233.6%7.1%17.9%33.9%73.2%
480~499kg221208.0%16.0%20.0%48.4%58.8%
500~519kg100127.7%7.7%7.7%35.4%13.1%
520~539kg01020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%133.3%
540kg以上00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
馬体重増減1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
+20~30kg0 0010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
+10~19kg00170.0%0.0%12.5%0.0%78.8%
+5~9kg100516.7%16.7%16.7%158.3%41.7%
+1~4kg022200.0%8.3%16.7%0.0%61.7%
±02021113.3%13.3%26.7%79.3%66.7%
-1~4kg2201311.8%23.5%23.5%72.9%54.7%
-5~9kg01050.0%16.7%16.7%0.0%66.7%
-10~19kg00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
上記以外00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
血統1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
サンデー2101710.0%15.0%15.0%77.0%37.5%
ロベルト00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%105.0%
ノーザン100185.3%5.3%5.3%50.0%13.2%
ミスプロ132145.0%20.0%30.0%21.5%103.5%
バクシンオー00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ナスルーラ00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%31.7%
その他111316.7%33.3%50.0%76.7%133.3%
所属1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
美浦13187.7%30.8%38.5%60.0%140.0%
栗東424576.0%9.0%14.9%38.8%42.8%
前走場名1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
札幌00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
函館00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
福島00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
東京131116.3%25.0%31.3%48.8%113.8%
中京101514.3%14.3%28.6%61.4%117.1%
京都112283.1%6.3%12.5%29.7%34.7%
阪神2111014.3%21.4%28.6%87.1%67.1%
小倉00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
その他00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走クラス1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
OP00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1000555497.8%15.6%23.4%52.8%73.3%
500000110.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
その他00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走競種1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
111710.0%20.0%30.0%95.0%92.0%
ダート444585.7%11.4%17.1%34.7%53.9%
前走距離1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
芝1200100150.0%50.0%50.0%475.0%125.0%
芝140001110.0%33.3%66.7%0.0%223.3%
芝150000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝160000020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝180000020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ100000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ120000190.0%0.0%10.0%0.0%19.0%
ダ130000040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ1400343337.0%16.3%23.3%38.4%75.6%
ダ1600100150.0%50.0%50.0%390.0%165.0%
ダ170000020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ180000060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
上記以外00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走着順1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1着000150.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
2着201428.6%28.6%42.9%127.1%77.1%
3着110514.3%28.6%28.6%108.6%84.3%
4着01020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%50.0%
5着00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6着111611.1%22.2%33.3%86.7%172.2%
7着00240.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%90.0%
8着00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9着01130.0%20.0%40.0%0.0%134.0%
10着以下110234.0%8.0%8.0%38.0%26.0%
前走着差1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
勝0.6以上00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
勝0.3-0.500010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
勝0.0-0.2000110.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負0.0-0.2221815.4%30.8%38.5%91.5%86.2%
負0.3-0.511279.1%18.2%36.4%41.8%117.3%
負0.6-0.912297.1%21.4%35.7%67.9%139.3%
負1.0-1.9100185.3%5.3%5.3%41.1%17.4%
負2.0-2.900050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負3.0以上00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気100910.0%10.0%10.0%43.0%19.0%
2番人気00160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%27.1%
3番人気101514.3%14.3%28.6%111.4%97.1%
4番人気211522.2%33.3%44.4%135.6%108.9%
5番人気110612.5%25.0%25.0%118.8%81.3%
6番人気01030.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%80.0%
7番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8番人気00210.0%0.0%66.7%0.0%270.0%
9番人気01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%295.0%
10番人気01060.0%14.3%14.3%0.0%40.0%
11番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15番人気00070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走SP指数1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
80~84110416.7%33.3%33.3%126.7%70.0%
75~79112145.6%11.1%22.2%25.6%62.8%
70~74113116.3%12.5%31.3%48.8%126.3%
65~69110165.6%11.1%11.1%23.9%26.1%
60~64100712.5%12.5%12.5%118.8%31.3%
55~5901030.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%100.0%
50以下00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
上記以外00080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走上がり1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
33.0~33.400100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%390.0%
33.5~33.9100233.3%33.3%33.3%316.7%83.3%
34.5~34.900110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%95.0%
35.0~35.400060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
35.5~35.903030.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%176.7%
36.0~36.42001511.8%11.8%11.8%70.0%27.1%
36.5~36.9212716.7%25.0%41.7%103.3%109.2%
37.0~37.4010120.0%7.7%7.7%0.0%30.8%
37.5~37.900160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%90.0%
38.0~38.400020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
38.5~38.900020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
39.5~39.900020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
40.0~40.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
40.5~40.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
41.0~41.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走上がり順位1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1位120611.1%33.3%33.3%47.8%122.2%
2位00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%30.0%
3位112314.3%28.6%57.1%108.6%142.9%
4位00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5位100712.5%12.5%12.5%118.8%31.3%
6位100325.0%25.0%25.0%115.0%42.5%
7位00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%157.5%
8位00060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9位100233.3%33.3%33.3%260.0%110.0%
10位00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11位00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%87.5%
12位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13位01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%200.0%
14位00060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15位01020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%93.3%
16位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
コース勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
100%00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%210.0%
40.0~59.9%101514.3%14.3%28.6%108.6%94.3%
20.0~39.9%111117.1%14.3%21.4%67.9%50.7%
0.01~19.9%110711.1%22.2%22.2%51.1%54.4%
0.0%111283.2%6.5%9.7%13.9%31.3%
初コース121126.3%18.8%25.0%48.8%76.9%
コース連対率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%105.0%
50.0~74.9%12387.1%21.4%42.9%54.3%135.7%
25.0~49.9%2101511.1%16.7%16.7%78.3%41.1%
00.0~24.9%100253.8%3.8%3.8%16.5%7.3%
初コース121126.3%18.8%25.0%48.8%76.9%
コース複勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%103116.7%6.7%26.7%50.7%98.0%
50.0~74.9%031120.0%18.8%25.0%0.0%86.3%
25.0~49.9%2001115.4%15.4%15.4%108.5%32.3%
00.0~24.9%100195.0%5.0%5.0%21.5%9.5%
初コース121126.3%18.8%25.0%48.8%76.9%
前走ペース1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
遅い443368.5%17.0%23.4%51.7%76.4%
平均111194.5%9.1%13.6%43.2%32.3%
速い00160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%55.7%
KLAN注目馬1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
注目馬:Bランク00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
注目馬:Cランク02080.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%55.0%
注目馬:Dランク210240.0%60.0%60.0%244.0%144.0%
1着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
153カフジテイク牡32 4.3鳴海特1000ダ1420.2
145サクセスフェイト牡53 7.610001000ダ1430.1
136ソラニー牡35 7.810001000ダ1661.2
122アマノレインジャー牡42 4.610001000ダ1420.3
117トシギャングスター牡45 9.510001000芝12100.9
2着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
152ロードヴォルケーノ牡47 13.8高砂特1000ダ1430.2
143ガッサンプレイ牡48 34.2西湖特1000ダ1460.3
135クロムレック牡38 13.6シャン1000ダ14140.9
128アンヴァルト牡55 11.610001000芝1490.8
111トキノエクセレント牡32 3.8シャン1000ダ1440.2
3着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
154ロスヴァイセ牝49 22.8香嵐渓1000ダ1460.7
148ワイルドダラー牡34 8.2河口湖1000ダ1470.5
132メイショウゲンブ牡47 13.610001000芝1490.9
122アテーナーズブレス牝43 5ドンカ1000ダ1270.2
114ムスタングリーダー牡43 610001000ダ1420.3
馬場ラップ
1516稍(-1.1)34.537.112.5 - 10.8 - 11.2 - 11.9 - 12.3 - 12.2 - 12.6
1416重(-2.3)34.636.212.4 - 11.0 - 11.2 - 11.9 - 12.0 - 11.9 - 12.3
1316重(-1.6)34.736.612.3 - 10.9 - 11.5 - 12.1 - 12.0 - 12.0 - 12.6
1216稍(-1.3)33.937.812.2 - 10.5 - 11.2 - 12.0 - 12.3 - 12.5 - 13.0
1116良(0.8)35.437.312.4 - 11.0 - 12.0 - 12.4 - 12.6 - 11.8 - 12.9
券種配当下限配当上限配当平均回収率
単勝43095068042.3%
複勝15063031058.6%
枠連1,1302,2301,52042.1%
馬連2,00011,4704,65038.8%
ワイド3703,7701,63040.7%
馬単4,17018,7908,09033.7%
3連複3,86026,39013,96024.9%
3連単24,470162,00077,28023.0%
補足
注目馬のランク、出走馬のSP指数やコース勝率などの詳細は予想から馬券購入まで、無料で使えるあなた専用の競馬データベース【KLAN.jp】でご覧になれます。馬場項目にある()内の数字はレース当日の時計のかかり具合を数値化したものです。数値がプラスの場合は時計がかかっており、マイナスの場合は時計が出る馬場状態となります。

また、この記事に掲載しているデータは下記のレースから算出しています。

2015 5阪神7 3歳上1000万下 ダ1400
2014 5阪神6 クリスマスキャロル賞(1000万下) ダ1400
2013 5阪神7 3歳上1000万下 ダ1400
2012 5阪神6 3歳上1000万下 ダ1400
2011 6阪神7 3歳上1000万下 ダ1400

なお、当ブログでは現行条件過去5回を原則としてデータをまとめておりますが、現行条件にできるだけ合わせる必要があると判断した場合やJRAの番組改編などにより該当レースと条件が似ている代替レースが見つからない場合には過去5回未満になることが多々ございます。ご了承ください。
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