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【WIN5/3】2016 ホープフルステークス 予想用過去成績データ傾向まとめ

Entry ⇒ 2016.12.18 | JRA重賞コメント (0)ブログ村 データ理論
簡易傾向オッズ位置血統所属前場前級前距前差
的中率重視30.0~49.95枠中団ロベルト美浦福島新馬芝1600勝0.6以上
回収率重視20.0~29.91枠中団ロベルト美浦福島新馬芝1600勝0.0-0.2
\(^o^)/5.0~6.92枠逃げノーザン招待札幌OP芝1500負1.0-1.9
 1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
全体555606.7%13.3%20.0%82.1%87.1%
人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気02030.0%40.0%40.0%0.0%48.0%
2番人気103120.0%20.0%80.0%90.0%140.0%
3番人気100420.0%20.0%20.0%148.0%36.0%
4番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5番人気100420.0%20.0%20.0%174.0%72.0%
6番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%90.0%
7番人気100420.0%20.0%20.0%348.0%104.0%
8番人気110320.0%40.0%40.0%472.0%220.0%
9番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%136.0%
10番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%166.0%
11番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%294.0%
13番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
オッズ1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1.0~2.902000.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%120.0%
3.0~4.9103412.5%12.5%50.0%56.3%87.5%
5.0~6.900030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7.0~9.9200722.2%22.2%22.2%178.9%60.0%
10.0~14.901070.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%56.3%
15.0~19.9100420.0%20.0%20.0%348.0%104.0%
20.0~29.9100516.7%16.7%16.7%393.3%73.3%
30.0~49.902150.0%25.0%37.5%0.0%271.3%
50.0~99.900180.0%0.0%11.1%0.0%163.3%
100倍以上000170.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1枠200625.0%25.0%25.0%512.5%120.0%
2枠00080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3枠01070.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%82.5%
4枠01270.0%10.0%30.0%0.0%103.0%
5枠210622.2%33.3%33.3%132.2%94.4%
6枠111710.0%20.0%30.0%87.0%59.0%
7枠01090.0%10.0%10.0%0.0%83.0%
8枠002100.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%134.2%
性齢1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
牡2554537.5%14.9%20.9%91.9%75.5%
牝200170.0%0.0%12.5%0.0%183.8%
斤量1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
54.000160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%210.0%
55.0554517.7%15.4%21.5%94.8%77.8%
56.000030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
位置取り1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
先団221188.7%17.4%21.7%57.4%153.9%
中団3221911.5%19.2%26.9%186.2%96.9%
後方012180.0%4.8%14.3%0.0%22.4%
前走脚質1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ120107.7%23.1%23.1%34.6%102.3%
先行213285.9%8.8%17.6%95.0%97.1%
差し111126.7%13.3%20.0%116.0%99.3%
追込111107.7%15.4%23.1%56.9%31.5%
馬体重1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
420~439kg00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
440~459kg02160.0%22.2%33.3%0.0%267.8%
460~479kg021200.0%8.7%13.0%0.0%30.4%
480~499kg3112211.1%14.8%18.5%147.0%65.9%
500~519kg202718.2%18.2%36.4%199.1%149.1%
520~539kg00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
540kg以上00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
馬体重増減1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
+20~30kg0 0010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
+10~19kg02050.0%28.6%28.6%0.0%158.6%
+5~9kg011160.0%5.6%11.1%0.0%127.8%
+1~4kg112174.8%9.5%19.0%82.9%42.4%
±011189.1%18.2%27.3%67.3%48.2%
-1~4kg101108.3%8.3%16.7%37.5%75.0%
-5~9kg200250.0%50.0%50.0%807.5%200.0%
-10~19kg00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
血統1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
サンデー241325.1%15.4%17.9%30.5%60.3%
ロベルト200625.0%25.0%25.0%512.5%120.0%
ノーザン00070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ミスプロ102512.5%12.5%37.5%108.8%77.5%
ナスルーラ00190.0%0.0%10.0%0.0%68.0%
その他01110.0%33.3%66.7%0.0%640.0%
所属1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
美浦354415.7%15.1%22.6%91.3%110.0%
栗東201189.5%9.5%14.3%62.9%33.3%
招待00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走場名1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
札幌00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
福島01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%330.0%
新潟01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%55.0%
中山010100.0%9.1%9.1%0.0%75.5%
東京324278.3%13.9%25.0%134.4%117.5%
中京00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
京都2011312.5%12.5%18.8%82.5%43.8%
阪神00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
その他00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走クラス1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
G200110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%735.0%
G3011110.0%7.7%15.4%0.0%19.2%
OP00080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
500021170.0%10.0%15.0%0.0%80.5%
未勝利021170.0%10.0%15.0%0.0%63.0%
新馬501641.7%41.7%50.0%513.3%161.7%
前走競種1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
555527.5%14.9%22.4%91.9%97.5%
ダート00080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走距離1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
芝140000100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%1470.0%
芝150000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝1600110416.7%33.3%33.3%393.3%91.7%
芝1800122184.3%13.0%21.7%75.7%106.5%
芝2000322298.3%13.9%19.4%57.2%57.2%
ダ140000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ160000040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ180000030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走着順1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1着5432812.5%22.5%30.0%154.0%102.3%
2着00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3着00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%46.7%
4着00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5着00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%367.5%
6着00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7着01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%166.0%
8着00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9着00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10着以下00070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走着差1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
勝0.6以上121216.7%50.0%66.7%75.0%150.0%
勝0.3-0.500160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%31.4%
勝0.0-0.24212014.8%22.2%25.9%211.5%110.0%
負0.0-0.200160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%20.0%
負0.3-0.501090.0%10.0%10.0%0.0%83.0%
負0.6-0.900170.0%0.0%12.5%0.0%183.8%
負1.0-1.900080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負2.0-2.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負3.0以上00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気2311111.8%29.4%35.3%94.7%91.8%
2番人気102107.7%7.7%23.1%34.6%86.2%
3番人気100811.1%11.1%11.1%193.3%57.8%
4番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5番人気01140.0%16.7%33.3%0.0%98.3%
6番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%166.0%
7番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8番人気100516.7%16.7%16.7%393.3%73.3%
9番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%294.0%
11番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走SP指数1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
80~8400100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%120.0%
75~7901000.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%110.0%
70~74000130.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
65~69022140.0%11.1%22.2%0.0%172.2%
60~64121116.7%20.0%26.7%58.0%108.0%
55~59101155.9%5.9%11.8%102.4%43.5%
50以下100325.0%25.0%25.0%112.5%55.0%
上記以外200433.3%33.3%33.3%516.7%103.3%
前走上がり1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
32.5~32.901000.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%110.0%
33.0~33.4101133.3%33.3%66.7%580.0%220.0%
33.5~33.9211620.0%30.0%40.0%310.0%97.0%
34.0~34.42211013.3%26.7%33.3%88.0%158.0%
34.5~34.9001140.0%0.0%6.7%0.0%98.0%
35.0~35.400170.0%0.0%12.5%0.0%15.0%
35.5~35.901070.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%103.8%
36.0~36.400020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
36.5~36.900030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
37.0~37.400030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
37.5~37.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
38.0~38.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
38.5~38.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
39.0~39.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
39.5~39.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
40.5~40.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走上がり順位1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1位313427.3%36.4%63.6%187.3%122.7%
2位021170.0%10.0%15.0%0.0%63.0%
3位110711.1%22.2%22.2%193.3%131.1%
4位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5位00070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6位00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7位111512.5%25.0%37.5%295.0%342.5%
8位00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10位00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12位00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14位00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
コース勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
100%00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
40.0~59.9%01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%415.0%
20.0~39.9%00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%00090.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
初コース545458.5%15.3%23.7%104.4%96.6%
コース連対率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%00080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0~74.9%01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%415.0%
25.0~49.9%00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
00.0~24.9%00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
初コース545458.5%15.3%23.7%104.4%96.6%
コース複勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0~74.9%01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%415.0%
25.0~49.9%00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
00.0~24.9%00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
初コース545458.5%15.3%23.7%104.4%96.6%
前走ペース1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
遅い444338.9%17.8%26.7%126.9%134.7%
平均111611.1%22.2%33.3%50.0%52.2%
速い000200.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
KLAN注目馬1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
注目馬:Aランク00100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%140.0%
注目馬:Bランク00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%367.5%
注目馬:Cランク100516.7%16.7%16.7%145.0%60.0%
注目馬:Dランク01060.0%14.3%14.3%0.0%15.7%
1着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
155ハートレー牡23 7.4新馬新馬芝201-0.2
145シャイニングレイ牡22 4.5新馬新馬芝201-0.6
131エアアンセム牡28 23.6新馬新馬芝161-0.1
121サトノネプチューン牡27 17.4新馬新馬芝1810
116アドマイヤブルー牡25 8.7新馬新馬芝201-0.1
2着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
156ロードクエスト牡21 1.9新潟2G3芝161-0.7
143コメート牡28 30.5きんも500万芝1810
134ベルキャニオン牡21 2.2未勝利未勝利芝201-0.2
127マイネルストラーノ牡210 32.8葉牡丹500万芝2070.5
115ミヤビアミュレット牡26 11未勝利未勝利芝181-0.6
3着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
156バティスティーニ牡22 3.4黄菊賞500万芝201-0.6
144ブラックバゴ牡29 30.8未勝利未勝利芝181-0.1
138クラリティシチー牡22 3.6東ス2G3芝1830.2
124カミノタサハラ牡22 4.6新馬新馬芝201-0.3
118コスモアンドロメダ牝212 80.5京王2G2芝1450.6
馬場ラップ
1512良(-0.7)36.635.312.5 - 11.5 - 12.6 - 12.7 - 12.8 - 12.2 - 12.2 - 12.1 - 11.5 - 11.7
1417良(-0.6)36.235.912.8 - 10.9 - 12.5 - 12.8 - 12.5 - 11.8 - 12.7 - 12.5 - 11.6 - 11.8
1317良(0.4)36.137.412.7 - 11.3 - 12.1 - 12.3 - 12.2 - 11.9 - 12.1 - 12.3 - 12.4 - 12.7
1213良(0)35.535.912.5 - 11.0 - 12.0 - 12.5 - 12.8 - 12.3 - 12.6 - 12.1 - 11.7 - 12.1
1116良(-0.8)35.235.012.2 - 10.8 - 12.2 - 12.9 - 13.1 - 12.4 - 12.8 - 12.0 - 11.1 - 11.9
券種配当下限配当上限配当平均回収率
単勝4502,3601,23082.1%
複勝1101,47044087.1%
枠連6304,8502,00057.7%
馬連1,22028,3809,42087.8%
ワイド17010,2303,09086.5%
馬単2,85049,85016,91078.9%
3連複840122,38049,090101.2%
3連単7,790648,880281,79096.8%
補足
注目馬のランク、出走馬のSP指数やコース勝率などの詳細は予想から馬券購入まで、無料で使えるあなた専用の競馬データベース【KLAN.jp】でご覧になれます。馬場項目にある()内の数字はレース当日の時計のかかり具合を数値化したものです。数値がプラスの場合は時計がかかっており、マイナスの場合は時計が出る馬場状態となります。

また、この記事に掲載しているデータは下記のレースから算出しています。

2015 5中山8 ホープフルS(G2) 芝2000
2014 4中山8 ホープフルS(G2) 芝2000
2013 5中山8 ホープフルS(OP) 芝2000
2012 5中山8 ホープフルS(OP) 芝2000
2011 5中山8 ホープフルS(OP) 芝2000

なお、当ブログでは現行条件過去5回を原則としてデータをまとめておりますが、現行条件にできるだけ合わせる必要があると判断した場合やJRAの番組改編などにより該当レースと条件が似ている代替レースが見つからない場合には過去5回未満になることが多々ございます。ご了承ください。
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