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日経新春杯2017 予想用過去成績データ傾向まとめ

Entry ⇒ 2017.01.08 | JRA重賞コメント (0)ブログ村 データ理論
簡易傾向オッズ位置血統所属前場前級前距前差
的中率重視3.0~4.91枠中団ミスプロ栗東東京G1芝2400勝0.3-0.5
回収率重視3.0~4.91枠先団ミスプロ栗東札幌G1芝2000勝0.0-0.2
\(^o^)/50.0~99.95枠後方ノーザン美浦福島OP芝1600負1.0-1.9
 1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
全体555596.8%13.5%20.3%60.0%56.2%
人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気130120.0%80.0%80.0%32.0%112.0%
2番人気200340.0%40.0%40.0%158.0%58.0%
3番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%34.0%
4番人気00320.0%0.0%60.0%0.0%146.0%
5番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6番人気100420.0%20.0%20.0%242.0%96.0%
7番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%96.0%
8番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%82.0%
9番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10番人気110320.0%40.0%40.0%456.0%208.0%
11番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
17番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
オッズ1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1.0~2.9110050.0%100.0%100.0%80.0%110.0%
3.0~4.9220233.3%66.7%66.7%131.7%105.0%
5.0~6.901050.0%16.7%16.7%0.0%28.3%
7.0~9.900320.0%0.0%60.0%0.0%146.0%
10.0~14.9101117.7%7.7%15.4%93.1%73.8%
15.0~19.901050.0%16.7%16.7%0.0%71.7%
20.0~29.9100233.3%33.3%33.3%760.0%203.3%
30.0~49.900190.0%0.0%10.0%0.0%41.0%
50.0~99.900070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
100倍以上000160.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1枠310437.5%50.0%50.0%383.8%137.5%
2枠102512.5%12.5%37.5%151.3%125.0%
3枠111512.5%25.0%37.5%20.0%127.5%
4枠01070.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%17.5%
5枠000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6枠01090.0%10.0%10.0%0.0%11.0%
7枠00290.0%0.0%18.2%0.0%56.4%
8枠010100.0%9.1%9.1%0.0%15.5%
性齢1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
牡4420828.6%42.9%42.9%305.7%118.6%
牡5121155.3%15.8%21.1%8.4%45.3%
牝500110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%115.0%
牡600390.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%81.7%
牝601010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%215.0%
牡7000140.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牝700010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡800060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡900040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
斤量1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
50.000030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
51.000020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
52.0101612.5%12.5%25.0%285.0%105.0%
53.000080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
54.0010130.0%7.1%7.1%0.0%7.9%
55.02101213.3%20.0%20.0%102.0%70.0%
56.013377.1%28.6%50.0%33.6%131.4%
57.000040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
57.500010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
58.000130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%52.5%
58.51000100.0%100.0%100.0%160.0%110.0%
位置取り1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ100516.7%16.7%16.7%53.3%23.3%
先団114145.0%10.0%30.0%114.0%112.5%
中団241246.5%19.4%22.6%44.2%52.3%
後方100165.9%5.9%5.9%27.6%8.8%
前走脚質1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
先行2221012.5%25.0%37.5%162.5%110.0%
差し212179.1%13.6%22.7%62.3%55.9%
追込121273.2%9.7%12.9%15.2%37.7%
未発表00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
馬体重1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
440~459kg00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
460~479kg121155.3%15.8%21.1%63.7%68.9%
480~499kg121194.3%13.0%17.4%20.4%37.8%
500~519kg2021311.8%11.8%23.5%152.9%73.5%
520~539kg01050.0%16.7%16.7%0.0%23.3%
540kg以上101225.0%25.0%50.0%40.0%147.5%
馬体重増減1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
+20~30kg1 01416.7%16.7%33.3%53.3%103.3%
+10~19kg010100.0%9.1%9.1%0.0%18.2%
+5~9kg211915.4%23.1%30.8%105.4%76.2%
+1~4kg001160.0%0.0%5.9%0.0%13.5%
±0100516.7%16.7%16.7%78.3%25.0%
-1~4kg022120.0%12.5%25.0%0.0%58.1%
-5~9kg110133.3%66.7%66.7%760.0%346.7%
-10~19kg00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
血統1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
サンデー245324.7%14.0%25.6%60.5%74.9%
ロベルト01080.0%11.1%11.1%0.0%22.2%
ノーザン000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ミスプロ300537.5%37.5%37.5%230.0%92.5%
バクシンオー00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ナスルーラ00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
所属1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
美浦000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
栗東555497.8%15.6%23.4%69.4%65.0%
前走場名1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
札幌00110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%240.0%
福島00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
新潟00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
中山100156.3%6.3%6.3%10.0%6.9%
東京110810.0%20.0%20.0%121.0%68.0%
中京113510.0%20.0%50.0%47.0%131.0%
京都2011312.5%12.5%18.8%162.5%72.5%
阪神020140.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%15.6%
小倉01000.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%170.0%
前走クラス1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
G1300925.0%25.0%25.0%140.8%60.8%
G211397.1%14.3%35.7%33.6%95.0%
G3021140.0%11.8%17.6%0.0%48.8%
OP001130.0%0.0%7.1%0.0%29.3%
1600020140.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%15.6%
10001000100.0%100.0%100.0%2280.0%610.0%
前走競種1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
555576.9%13.9%20.8%61.7%57.8%
ダート00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走距離1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
芝160000020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝1800000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝2000224187.7%15.4%30.8%105.8%98.8%
芝220000040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝240012089.1%27.3%27.3%110.0%66.4%
芝2500110612.5%25.0%25.0%20.0%38.8%
芝260000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝3000101514.3%14.3%28.6%45.7%78.6%
芝360000030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ140000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ160000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走着順1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1着121511.1%33.3%44.4%253.3%121.1%
2着111512.5%25.0%37.5%40.0%93.8%
3着111316.7%33.3%50.0%26.7%81.7%
4着00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%96.7%
5着00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6着01020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%143.3%
7着100712.5%12.5%12.5%151.3%60.0%
8着100233.3%33.3%33.3%156.7%50.0%
9着00060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10着以下001240.0%0.0%4.0%0.0%19.2%
上記以外00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走着差1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
勝0.3-0.502020.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%62.5%
勝0.0-0.2101320.0%20.0%40.0%456.0%168.0%
負0.0-0.212269.1%27.3%45.5%14.5%89.1%
負0.3-0.5210525.0%37.5%37.5%210.0%132.5%
負0.6-0.9101146.3%6.3%12.5%20.0%34.4%
負1.0-1.9000240.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負2.0-2.900030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負3.0以上00100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%480.0%
前走人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気02060.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%31.3%
2番人気210720.0%30.0%30.0%275.0%93.0%
3番人気02050.0%28.6%28.6%0.0%90.0%
4番人気00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%52.5%
5番人気100150.0%50.0%50.0%160.0%70.0%
6番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7番人気00110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%205.0%
8番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9番人気101416.7%16.7%33.3%26.7%66.7%
10番人気100420.0%20.0%20.0%242.0%96.0%
11番人気00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%80.0%
12番人気00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%38.3%
13番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走SP指数1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
90~9400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
85~89111414.3%28.6%42.9%22.9%74.3%
80~843321712.0%24.0%32.0%80.0%75.6%
75~79001140.0%0.0%6.7%0.0%15.3%
70~74100146.7%6.7%6.7%152.0%40.7%
65~6901060.0%14.3%14.3%0.0%61.4%
60~6400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
55~5900100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%480.0%
上記以外00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走上がり1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
33.0~33.4100325.0%25.0%25.0%40.0%27.5%
33.5~33.900040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
34.0~34.42111311.8%17.6%23.5%98.8%62.4%
34.5~34.902140.0%28.6%42.9%0.0%65.7%
35.0~35.400150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%48.3%
35.5~35.9021100.0%15.4%23.1%0.0%77.7%
36.0~36.4100420.0%20.0%20.0%64.0%28.0%
36.5~36.9100614.3%14.3%14.3%325.7%87.1%
37.5~37.900040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
38.0~38.400030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
39.0~39.400100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%480.0%
40.0~40.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走上がり順位1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1位130314.3%57.1%57.1%67.1%85.7%
2位10289.1%9.1%27.3%14.5%68.2%
3位001100.0%0.0%9.1%0.0%19.1%
4位200433.3%33.3%33.3%255.0%103.3%
5位110320.0%40.0%40.0%456.0%208.0%
6位01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%85.0%
7位00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%72.5%
8位00070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9位00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12位00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13位00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%160.0%
コース勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
100%00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%57.5%
40.0~59.9%4211023.5%35.3%41.2%190.0%86.5%
20.0~39.9%032110.0%18.8%31.3%0.0%98.1%
0.01~19.9%000150.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
0.0%101175.3%5.3%10.5%63.7%46.8%
初コース00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
コース連対率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%311725.0%33.3%41.7%255.8%105.8%
50.0~74.9%112107.1%14.3%28.6%11.4%65.0%
25.0~49.9%132194.0%16.0%24.0%48.4%79.2%
00.0~24.9%000200.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
初コース00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
コース複勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%4321318.2%31.8%40.9%194.5%114.1%
50.0~74.9%112145.6%11.1%22.2%8.9%57.8%
25.0~49.9%011190.0%4.8%9.5%0.0%29.0%
00.0~24.9%000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
初コース00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走ペース1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
遅い333278.3%16.7%25.0%26.4%50.3%
平均121155.3%15.8%21.1%63.7%66.3%
速い101155.9%5.9%11.8%134.1%64.1%
KLAN注目馬1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
注目馬:Aランク00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
注目馬:Bランク112314.3%28.6%57.1%22.9%107.1%
注目馬:Cランク111316.7%33.3%50.0%53.3%136.7%
注目馬:Dランク00110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%205.0%
1着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
161レーヴミストラル牡42 4.7金鯱賞G2芝2080.4
152アドマイヤデウス牡46 12.1東京優G1芝2470.5
141サトノノブレス牡42 3.2菊花賞G1芝3020.8
131カポーティスター牡410 22.8北野特1000芝2010
123トゥザグローリー牡51 1.6有馬記G1芝2530.1
2着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
166シュヴァルグラン牡41 2オリオ1600芝241-0.5
153フーラブライド牝610 17.4愛知杯G3芝2060.4
144アドマイヤフライト牡51 3.1オリオ1600芝241-0.3
131ムスカテール牡51 4アルゼG2芝2520.2
128ダノンバラード牡43 6.5中日新G3芝2030
3着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
167サトノノブレス牡64 9.5金鯱賞G2芝2030.2
153アドマイヤフライト牡67 14.5札幌記G2芝20143.9
142フーラブライド牝54 9.1愛知杯G3芝201-0.1
132トウカイパラダイス牡64 9金鯱賞G2芝2040.2
127マカニビスティー牡58 48.1万葉SOP芝3020.7
馬場ラップ
1612良(-0.7)36.135.113.1 - 11.2 - 11.8 - 13.0 - 12.9 - 12.4 - 12.8 - 12.0 - 11.6 - 11.7 - 11.8 - 11.6
1518良(-0.2)35.734.412.8 - 11.3 - 11.6 - 12.4 - 12.4 - 12.3 - 12.6 - 12.7 - 12.3 - 11.6 - 11.3 - 11.5
1416良(0)35.934.713.1 - 11.5 - 11.3 - 12.3 - 12.0 - 12.8 - 12.5 - 12.2 - 12.0 - 11.9 - 11.0 - 11.8
1316良(0)35.935.212.5 - 11.6 - 11.8 - 12.2 - 12.3 - 12.3 - 12.5 - 12.5 - 12.1 - 11.9 - 11.6 - 11.7
1212良(-0.1)34.635.112.3 - 11.0 - 11.3 - 12.2 - 12.3 - 12.5 - 12.4 - 12.8 - 11.8 - 11.5 - 11.7 - 11.9
券種配当下限配当上限配当平均回収率
単勝1602,28089060.0%
複勝11061028056.2%
枠連4404,0201,52044.2%
馬連51010,1503,16030.1%
ワイド2303,2101,24035.4%
馬単66019,5806,45030.7%
3連複1,38035,65010,38021.8%
3連単4,700200,13056,84019.9%
補足
注目馬のランク、出走馬のSP指数やコース勝率などの詳細は予想から馬券購入まで、無料で使えるあなた専用の競馬データベース【KLAN.jp】でご覧になれます。馬場項目にある()内の数字はレース当日の時計のかかり具合を数値化したものです。数値がプラスの場合は時計がかかっており、マイナスの場合は時計が出る馬場状態となります。

また、この記事に掲載しているデータは下記のレースから算出しています。

2016 1京都6 日経新春杯(G2) 芝2400
2015 1京都7 日経新春杯(G2) 芝2400
2014 1京都7 日経新春杯(G2) 芝2400
2013 1京都4 日経新春杯(G2) 芝2400
2012 1京都5 日経新春杯(G2) 芝2400

なお、当ブログでは現行条件過去5回を原則としてデータをまとめておりますが、現行条件にできるだけ合わせる必要があると判断した場合やJRAの番組改編などにより該当レースと条件が似ている代替レースが見つからない場合には過去5回未満になることが多々ございます。ご了承ください。
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