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すばるステークス2017 予想用過去成績データ傾向まとめ

Entry ⇒ 2017.01.15 | 注目レースコメント (0)ブログ村 データ理論
簡易傾向オッズ位置血統所属前場前級前距前差
的中率重視3.0~4.96枠逃げその他栗東東京G3ダ1800負2.0-2.9
回収率重視20.0~29.92枠逃げナスルーラ美浦中山OPダ1200負2.0-2.9
\(^o^)/10.0~14.95枠後方ノーザン栗東札幌OPダ1400負1.0-1.9
 1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
全体444506.5%12.9%19.4%56.5%90.0%
人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気200250.0%50.0%50.0%130.0%72.5%
2番人気110225.0%50.0%50.0%115.0%92.5%
3番人気01030.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%45.0%
4番人気02020.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%130.0%
5番人気00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%82.5%
6番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7番人気00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%152.5%
8番人気100325.0%25.0%25.0%630.0%197.5%
9番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10番人気00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%127.5%
11番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%495.0%
15番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
オッズ1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1.0~2.9200166.7%66.7%66.7%173.3%96.7%
3.0~4.9110225.0%50.0%50.0%115.0%92.5%
5.0~6.901010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%90.0%
7.0~9.902140.0%28.6%42.9%0.0%121.4%
10.0~14.9000100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15.0~19.900130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%152.5%
20.0~29.9100325.0%25.0%25.0%630.0%197.5%
30.0~49.900190.0%0.0%10.0%0.0%51.0%
50.0~99.900080.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
100倍以上00190.0%0.0%10.0%0.0%198.0%
1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1枠101612.5%12.5%25.0%35.0%95.0%
2枠101612.5%12.5%25.0%315.0%162.5%
3枠01060.0%14.3%14.3%0.0%40.0%
4枠00260.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%288.8%
5枠100712.5%12.5%12.5%30.0%17.5%
6枠02060.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%52.5%
7枠01070.0%12.5%12.5%0.0%22.5%
8枠100614.3%14.3%14.3%65.7%27.1%
性齢1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
牡4200250.0%50.0%50.0%130.0%72.5%
牡511099.1%18.2%18.2%41.8%42.7%
牝500100.0%0.0%100.0%0.0%330.0%
牡6032160.0%14.3%23.8%0.0%151.9%
牡7101185.0%5.0%10.0%126.0%65.0%
牡800010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡900040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
斤量1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
52.000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
53.000110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%165.0%
54.000050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
55.000040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
56.04222711.4%17.1%22.9%100.0%123.4%
57.002180.0%18.2%27.3%0.0%84.5%
57.500010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
58.000030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
位置取り1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ110225.0%50.0%50.0%630.0%267.5%
先団2201212.5%25.0%25.0%46.3%47.5%
中団112233.7%7.4%14.8%8.9%104.1%
後方002130.0%0.0%13.3%0.0%62.7%
前走脚質1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ110225.0%50.0%50.0%70.0%107.5%
先行2201113.3%26.7%26.7%198.7%93.3%
差し111233.8%7.7%11.5%9.2%31.9%
追込003140.0%0.0%17.6%0.0%171.8%
馬体重1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
440~459kg00110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%305.0%
460~479kg00350.0%0.0%37.5%0.0%352.5%
480~499kg110155.9%11.8%11.8%148.2%60.6%
500~519kg3002112.5%12.5%12.5%40.8%20.0%
520~539kg01060.0%14.3%14.3%0.0%25.7%
540kg以上02020.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%115.0%
馬体重増減1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
+10~19kg111220.0%40.0%60.0%92.0%482.0%
+5~9kg00180.0%0.0%11.1%0.0%56.7%
+1~4kg110127.1%14.3%14.3%17.1%30.0%
±0110108.3%16.7%16.7%23.3%27.5%
-1~4kg011130.0%6.7%13.3%0.0%34.0%
-5~9kg00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
-10~19kg101320.0%20.0%40.0%504.0%280.0%
血統1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
サンデー221179.1%18.2%22.7%127.3%78.6%
ロベルト00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ノーザン01090.0%10.0%10.0%0.0%24.0%
ミスプロ011140.0%6.3%12.5%0.0%49.4%
バクシンオー00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ナスルーラ102220.0%20.0%60.0%48.0%526.0%
その他100325.0%25.0%25.0%115.0%47.5%
所属1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
美浦102710.0%10.0%30.0%252.0%173.0%
栗東342435.8%13.5%17.3%18.8%74.0%
前走場名1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
札幌00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
中山2031211.8%11.8%29.4%175.3%240.0%
東京200433.3%33.3%33.3%86.7%48.3%
中京00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
京都011220.0%4.2%8.3%0.0%21.3%
阪神030100.0%23.1%23.1%0.0%53.8%
前走クラス1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
G200020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
G3200625.0%25.0%25.0%65.0%36.3%
OP233394.3%10.6%17.0%63.4%99.6%
160001130.0%20.0%40.0%0.0%122.0%
前走競種1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダート444466.9%13.8%20.7%60.3%96.2%
前走距離1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
芝120000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝140000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝160000020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ1200104106.7%6.7%33.3%168.0%281.3%
ダ1400040310.0%11.4%11.4%0.0%25.1%
ダ1600200166.7%66.7%66.7%173.3%96.7%
ダ170000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ1800100325.0%25.0%25.0%115.0%47.5%
前走着順1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1着02130.0%33.3%50.0%0.0%141.7%
2着00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3着100150.0%50.0%50.0%120.0%70.0%
4着00250.0%0.0%28.6%0.0%355.7%
5着01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%36.0%
6着110514.3%28.6%28.6%40.0%47.1%
7着00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%122.0%
8着00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9着00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10着以下2001710.5%10.5%10.5%156.8%51.6%
前走着差1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
勝0.0-0.202130.0%33.3%50.0%0.0%141.7%
負0.0-0.2100614.3%14.3%14.3%34.3%20.0%
負0.3-0.5023110.0%12.5%31.3%0.0%216.3%
負0.6-0.9100118.3%8.3%8.3%23.3%12.5%
負1.0-1.9100175.6%5.6%5.6%140.0%43.9%
負2.0-2.9100150.0%50.0%50.0%230.0%95.0%
負3.0以上00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気01010.0%50.0%50.0%0.0%90.0%
2番人気120512.5%37.5%37.5%35.0%76.3%
3番人気100811.1%11.1%11.1%51.1%21.1%
4番人気00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%203.3%
5番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%48.0%
6番人気00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%110.0%
7番人気100325.0%25.0%25.0%60.0%35.0%
8番人気00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%660.0%
9番人気00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%127.5%
10番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11番人気100325.0%25.0%25.0%630.0%197.5%
12番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
18番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走SP指数1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
90~94102316.7%16.7%50.0%40.0%163.3%
85~8912098.3%25.0%25.0%23.3%47.5%
80~84022180.0%9.1%18.2%0.0%138.6%
75~79000110.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
70~74200625.0%25.0%25.0%372.5%122.5%
65~6900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60~6400020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走上がり1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
35.0~35.402160.0%22.2%33.3%0.0%114.4%
35.5~35.9101127.1%7.1%14.3%17.1%33.6%
36.0~36.4012190.0%4.5%13.6%0.0%125.9%
36.5~36.900070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
37.0~37.401020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%60.0%
37.5~37.9200250.0%50.0%50.0%700.0%235.0%
38.0~38.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
40.0~40.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
40.5~40.91000100.0%100.0%100.0%460.0%190.0%
前走上がり順位1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1位00220.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%235.0%
2位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
3位01140.0%16.7%33.3%0.0%360.0%
4位100516.7%16.7%16.7%40.0%23.3%
5位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6位00160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%72.9%
7位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8位110320.0%40.0%40.0%56.0%78.0%
9位00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10位01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%56.0%
11位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12位01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%36.0%
13位00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14位100150.0%50.0%50.0%230.0%95.0%
15位00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16位100150.0%50.0%50.0%1260.0%395.0%
コース勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
100%101050.0%50.0%100.0%120.0%235.0%
60.0~79.9%00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
40.0~59.9%00060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
20.0~39.9%2001611.1%11.1%11.1%165.6%54.4%
0.01~19.9%03070.0%30.0%30.0%0.0%70.0%
0.0%112145.6%11.1%22.2%15.6%156.7%
初コース00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%101.7%
コース連対率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%101225.0%25.0%50.0%60.0%117.5%
50.0~74.9%000150.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
25.0~49.9%120126.7%20.0%20.0%168.0%80.7%
00.0~24.9%222169.1%18.2%27.3%33.6%149.5%
初コース00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%101.7%
コース複勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%2011213.3%13.3%20.0%34.7%41.3%
50.0~74.9%011170.0%5.3%10.5%0.0%39.5%
25.0~49.9%121610.0%30.0%40.0%252.0%323.0%
00.0~24.9%110108.3%16.7%16.7%38.3%30.8%
初コース00150.0%0.0%16.7%0.0%101.7%
前走ペース1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
遅い030330.0%8.3%8.3%0.0%19.4%
平均114154.8%9.5%28.6%120.0%209.5%
速い300260.0%60.0%60.0%196.0%96.0%
KLAN注目馬1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
注目馬:Aランク00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
注目馬:Bランク00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
注目馬:Cランク220425.0%50.0%50.0%87.5%86.3%
1着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
168ニシケンモノノフ牡52 4.6師走SOPダ18152.6
151レッドアルヴィス牡41 2.8武蔵野G3ダ1660.9
145ベストウォーリア牡41 2.4武蔵野G3ダ1630.1
132アドバンスウェイ牡78 25.2ジャニOPダ12151.3
2着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
166グレイスフルリープ牡63 6ファイOPダ1460.3
153グレイスフルリープ牡54 8.1妙見山1600ダ1410
146ウォータールルド牡64 8.3ギャラOPダ141-0.1
137アドマイヤロイヤル牡62 4.5大和SOPダ1450.4
3着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
164フォーエバーモア牝55 9.8山科S1600ダ121-0.1
152タイセイファントム牡710 35.7ジャニOPダ1240.4
144タイセイファントム牡614 155.9ジャニOPダ1240.5
131シセイオウジ牡67 17.6ジャニOPダ1270.3
馬場ラップ
1616重(-1)34.435.812.2 - 10.7 - 11.5 - 11.9 - 11.8 - 11.9 - 12.1
1516稍(-0.2)35.335.312.2 - 10.9 - 12.2 - 12.4 - 11.5 - 11.5 - 12.3
1415重(-2)34.535.412.2 - 10.9 - 11.4 - 11.8 - 11.6 - 11.7 - 12.1
1316良(-0.1)35.236.512.3 - 11.3 - 11.6 - 11.8 - 12.0 - 12.0 - 12.5
券種配当下限配当上限配当平均回収率
単勝2402,52088055.6%
複勝1401,98047088.6%
枠連6801,9001,10030.6%
馬連8807,7402,96025.4%
ワイド4008,6002,70069.5%
馬単1,28018,6806,23026.8%
3連複6,45034,66020,23037.9%
3連単26,060238,49098,91030.9%
補足
注目馬のランク、出走馬のSP指数やコース勝率などの詳細は予想から馬券購入まで、無料で使えるあなた専用の競馬データベース【KLAN.jp】でご覧になれます。馬場項目にある()内の数字はレース当日の時計のかかり具合を数値化したものです。数値がプラスの場合は時計がかかっており、マイナスの場合は時計が出る馬場状態となります。

また、この記事に掲載しているデータは下記のレースから算出しています。

2016 2京都6 すばるS(OP) ダ1400
2015 2京都3 すばるS(OP) ダ1400
2014 2京都3 すばるS(OP) ダ1400
2013 2京都3 すばるS(OP) ダ1400

なお、当ブログでは現行条件過去5回を原則としてデータをまとめておりますが、現行条件にできるだけ合わせる必要があると判断した場合やJRAの番組改編などにより該当レースと条件が似ている代替レースが見つからない場合には過去5回未満になることが多々ございます。ご了承ください。
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