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節分ステークス2017 予想用過去成績データ傾向まとめ

Entry ⇒ 2017.01.22 | WIN5コメント (0)ブログ村 データ理論
簡易傾向オッズ位置血統所属前場前級前距前差
的中率重視15.0~19.94枠逃げその他美浦中京1600芝1600負0.0-0.2
回収率重視15.0~19.92枠先団ミスプロ美浦中京1000芝1600負0.3-0.5
\(^o^)/5.0~6.96枠後方ノーザン栗東札幌1600芝1200勝0.3-0.5
 1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
全体555576.9%13.9%20.8%70.3%64.7%
人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気211140.0%60.0%80.0%144.0%120.0%
2番人気110320.0%40.0%40.0%60.0%66.0%
3番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5番人気00230.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%108.0%
6番人気100420.0%20.0%20.0%300.0%56.0%
7番人気01130.0%20.0%40.0%0.0%158.0%
8番人気01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%98.0%
9番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%114.0%
10番人気110320.0%40.0%40.0%508.0%212.0%
11番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
12番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
オッズ1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1.0~2.9111125.0%50.0%75.0%67.5%105.0%
3.0~4.9210066.7%100.0%100.0%250.0%170.0%
5.0~6.900070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7.0~9.900140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%54.0%
10.0~14.900190.0%0.0%10.0%0.0%27.0%
15.0~19.9121412.5%37.5%50.0%187.5%195.0%
20.0~29.911198.3%16.7%25.0%211.7%135.8%
30.0~49.900050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
50.0~99.9000110.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
100倍以上00070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1枠00260.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%105.0%
2枠100712.5%12.5%12.5%317.5%76.3%
3枠02070.0%22.2%22.2%0.0%97.8%
4枠221422.2%44.4%55.6%80.0%143.3%
5枠01080.0%11.1%11.1%0.0%18.9%
6枠100910.0%10.0%10.0%150.0%28.0%
7枠00280.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%43.0%
8枠100811.1%11.1%11.1%33.3%17.8%
性齢1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
牡401380.0%8.3%33.3%0.0%76.7%
牝400140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%114.0%
牡52301112.5%31.3%31.3%35.6%86.3%
牝5300633.3%33.3%33.3%498.9%118.9%
牡6001140.0%0.0%6.7%0.0%18.0%
牝600020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牡700070.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
牝701030.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%112.5%
牡800020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
斤量1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
50.000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
51.000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
52.000160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%81.4%
53.0210525.0%37.5%37.5%505.0%167.5%
54.010199.1%9.1%18.2%40.9%49.1%
55.0001160.0%0.0%5.9%0.0%15.9%
56.001170.0%11.1%22.2%0.0%32.2%
57.02311111.8%29.4%35.3%33.5%97.1%
57.500010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
位置取り1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ100420.0%20.0%20.0%60.0%32.0%
先団204188.3%8.3%25.0%117.1%87.5%
中団231198.0%20.0%24.0%78.0%84.0%
後方020160.0%11.1%11.1%0.0%16.7%
前走脚質1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
逃げ100150.0%50.0%50.0%150.0%80.0%
先行2221310.5%21.1%31.6%147.9%121.6%
差し222256.5%12.9%19.4%62.9%57.7%
追込011180.0%5.0%10.0%0.0%20.0%
馬体重1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
420~439kg110225.0%50.0%50.0%375.0%182.5%
440~459kg102107.7%7.7%23.1%20.8%81.5%
460~479kg001180.0%0.0%5.3%0.0%8.4%
480~499kg130174.8%19.0%19.0%21.4%60.5%
500~519kg101416.7%16.7%33.3%50.0%71.7%
520~539kg100420.0%20.0%20.0%508.0%122.0%
540kg以上01120.0%25.0%50.0%0.0%100.0%
馬体重増減1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
+10~19kg212228.6%42.9%71.4%427.1%192.9%
+5~9kg00190.0%0.0%10.0%0.0%27.0%
+1~4kg011130.0%6.7%13.3%0.0%66.7%
±001080.0%11.1%11.1%0.0%54.4%
-1~4kg2201610.0%20.0%20.0%90.0%53.0%
-5~9kg00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
-10~19kg101612.5%12.5%25.0%33.8%61.3%
血統1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
サンデー3132110.7%14.3%25.0%36.4%53.6%
ロベルト110612.5%25.0%25.0%187.5%56.3%
ノーザン001150.0%0.0%6.3%0.0%35.6%
ミスプロ121116.7%20.0%26.7%169.3%114.0%
ナスルーラ00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
その他01020.0%33.3%33.3%0.0%143.3%
所属1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
美浦344376.3%14.6%22.9%93.5%84.2%
栗東211208.3%12.5%16.7%23.8%25.8%
前走場名1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
札幌00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
中山132213.7%14.8%22.2%94.1%107.8%
東京112126.3%12.5%25.0%28.1%53.1%
中京100233.3%33.3%33.3%500.0%93.3%
京都2111411.1%16.7%22.2%31.7%34.4%
阪神00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
小倉00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走クラス1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
OP00110.0%0.0%50.0%0.0%135.0%
1600442467.1%14.3%17.9%63.6%59.8%
1000112107.1%14.3%28.6%107.1%74.3%
前走競種1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
555547.2%14.5%21.7%73.3%67.5%
ダート00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走距離1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
芝120000040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
芝1400100109.1%9.1%9.1%27.3%14.5%
芝16004141616.0%20.0%36.0%190.4%108.4%
芝1800031180.0%13.6%18.2%0.0%73.6%
芝200001060.0%14.3%14.3%0.0%24.3%
ダ120000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ140000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
ダ160000010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走着順1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1着112107.1%14.3%28.6%107.1%74.3%
2着200166.7%66.7%66.7%250.0%113.3%
3着01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%98.0%
4着111414.3%28.6%42.9%362.9%171.4%
5着110320.0%40.0%40.0%54.0%116.0%
7着00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
8着001100.0%0.0%9.1%0.0%51.8%
9着00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10着以下011190.0%4.8%9.5%0.0%21.0%
前走着差1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
勝0.3-0.500020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
勝0.0-0.211288.3%16.7%33.3%125.0%86.7%
負0.0-0.2210720.0%30.0%30.0%75.0%79.0%
負0.3-0.52121013.3%20.0%33.3%187.3%130.7%
負0.6-0.9021150.0%11.1%16.7%0.0%48.3%
負1.0-1.9000130.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負2.0-2.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
負3.0以上00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走人気1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1番人気212815.4%23.1%38.5%57.7%76.2%
2番人気00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%54.0%
3番人気200625.0%25.0%25.0%221.3%51.3%
4番人気00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
5番人気01060.0%14.3%14.3%0.0%70.0%
6番人気02010.0%66.7%66.7%0.0%200.0%
7番人気100614.3%14.3%14.3%362.9%87.1%
8番人気00040.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
9番人気00060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
10番人気00230.0%0.0%40.0%0.0%168.0%
12番人気00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
13番人気01030.0%25.0%25.0%0.0%112.5%
15番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16番人気00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走SP指数1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
85~8900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
80~8402140.0%28.6%42.9%0.0%172.9%
75~79202198.7%8.7%17.4%32.6%33.5%
70~74221169.5%19.0%23.8%133.8%91.0%
65~6901180.0%10.0%20.0%0.0%49.0%
60~6400050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
55~59100325.0%25.0%25.0%375.0%70.0%
50以下00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走上がり1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
33.0~33.4111220.0%40.0%60.0%90.0%94.0%
33.5~33.9011130.0%6.7%13.3%0.0%52.7%
34.0~34.4112107.1%14.3%28.6%19.3%80.0%
34.5~34.9101117.7%7.7%15.4%23.1%56.2%
35.0~35.412089.1%27.3%27.3%230.9%115.5%
35.5~35.9100614.3%14.3%14.3%214.3%40.0%
36.0~36.400030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
37.0~37.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
37.5~37.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
38.0~38.400010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
41.5~41.900010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
前走上がり順位1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
1位210916.7%25.0%25.0%162.5%49.2%
2位00160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%38.6%
3位00140.0%0.0%20.0%0.0%32.0%
4位01040.0%20.0%20.0%0.0%86.0%
5位00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
6位00030.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
7位121314.3%42.9%57.1%38.6%191.4%
8位01150.0%14.3%28.6%0.0%105.7%
9位100516.7%16.7%16.7%50.0%26.7%
10位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
11位00130.0%0.0%25.0%0.0%90.0%
12位100325.0%25.0%25.0%635.0%152.5%
13位00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
14位00020.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
15位00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
16位00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
コース勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
100%00010.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
60.0~79.9%01000.0%100.0%100.0%0.0%130.0%
40.0~59.9%01180.0%10.0%20.0%0.0%44.0%
20.0~39.9%102136.3%6.3%18.8%18.8%49.4%
0.01~19.9%130116.7%26.7%26.7%30.0%103.3%
0.0%201199.1%9.1%13.6%183.6%66.4%
初コース101514.3%14.3%28.6%38.6%41.4%
コース連対率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%00120.0%0.0%33.3%0.0%90.0%
50.0~74.9%120155.6%16.7%16.7%25.0%26.7%
25.0~49.9%2021212.5%12.5%25.0%112.5%66.9%
00.0~24.9%131233.6%14.3%17.9%90.7%91.1%
初コース101514.3%14.3%28.6%38.6%41.4%
コース複勝率1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
75.0~100.0%01150.0%14.3%28.6%0.0%57.1%
50.0~74.9%111204.3%8.7%13.0%19.6%30.9%
25.0~49.9%2211112.5%25.0%31.3%112.5%99.4%
00.0~24.9%111165.3%10.5%15.8%133.7%87.9%
初コース101514.3%14.3%28.6%38.6%41.4%
前走ペース1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
遅い324297.9%13.2%23.7%113.4%77.9%
平均221198.3%16.7%20.8%31.3%52.9%
速い01090.0%10.0%10.0%0.0%43.0%
KLAN注目馬1着2着3着着外勝率連対率複勝率単勝回収率複勝回収率
注目馬:Aランク1000100.0%100.0%100.0%300.0%160.0%
注目馬:Bランク00060.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
注目馬:Cランク00050.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
注目馬:Dランク00160.0%0.0%14.3%0.0%22.9%
1着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
164マジックタイム牝51 4.5ユート1600芝1620
156カフェブリリアント牝56 15中京日1000芝161-0.2
142ケイアイエレガント牝510 25.4秋風S1600芝1640.3
138タイキパーシヴァル牡52 3新春S1600芝1420.1
124ドリームカトラス牡51 2.7石清水1600芝1650.4
2着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
163チェリーヒロイン牝710 25市川S1600芝1650.2
154アデイインザライフ牡41 2.11000万1000芝181-0.1
144ホーカーテンペスト牡58 18.2美浦S1600芝1830.4
133ミヤビファルネーゼ牡57 19美浦S1600芝1840.6
125シルクアーネスト牡52 4.2寿S1600芝20100.9
3着馬名年齢脚質人気オッズ前レース前級前場前距前着前差前脚
161ロジチャリス牡45 8.2六社特1000芝1610
154マイネルアウラート牡47 18.71000万1000芝161-0.2
147アドマイヤドバイ牡41 2.9清水S1600芝1640.3
131アラフネ牝49 25.8初富士1600芝1880.4
127ムクドクセ65 13.1キャピOP芝16100.7
馬場ラップ
1614良(-0.3)34.935.212.5 - 11.1 - 11.3 - 11.3 - 12.0 - 11.5 - 11.7 - 12.0
1516良(-0.2)35.435.012.5 - 11.3 - 11.6 - 11.8 - 11.7 - 11.3 - 11.8 - 11.9
1415良(-0.4)36.433.412.7 - 11.4 - 12.3 - 12.1 - 12.1 - 10.9 - 11.1 - 11.4
1311良(-0.6)35.934.212.4 - 11.6 - 11.9 - 11.6 - 11.8 - 11.3 - 11.2 - 11.7
1216良(-0.1)35.734.812.8 - 11.4 - 11.5 - 11.7 - 11.9 - 11.4 - 11.4 - 12.0
券種配当下限配当上限配当平均回収率
単勝2702,5401,01070.3%
複勝13061031064.7%
枠連5706,7702,15062.4%
馬連63019,4705,98060.9%
ワイド3005,0801,62049.5%
馬単1,12036,84011,09056.5%
3連複2,35024,63012,06028.7%
3連単7,550227,61078,68031.2%
補足
注目馬のランク、出走馬のSP指数やコース勝率などの詳細は予想から馬券購入まで、無料で使えるあなた専用の競馬データベース【KLAN.jp】でご覧になれます。馬場項目にある()内の数字はレース当日の時計のかかり具合を数値化したものです。数値がプラスの場合は時計がかかっており、マイナスの場合は時計が出る馬場状態となります。

また、この記事に掲載しているデータは下記のレースから算出しています。

2016 1東京2 節分S(1600万下) 芝1600
2015 1東京2 節分S(1600万下) 芝1600
2014 1東京2 節分S(1600万下) 芝1600
2013 1東京2 節分S(1600万下) 芝1600
2012 1東京2 節分S(1600万下) 芝1600

なお、当ブログでは現行条件過去5回を原則としてデータをまとめておりますが、現行条件にできるだけ合わせる必要があると判断した場合やJRAの番組改編などにより該当レースと条件が似ている代替レースが見つからない場合には過去5回未満になることが多々ございます。ご了承ください。
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